{"id":144020,"date":"2022-07-27T01:40:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-26T22:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/devrri.freshlemon.ro\/news-and-current-affairs\/newsflash\/the-pandemic-and-its-aftermath-in-romania-144020.html"},"modified":"2024-02-19T16:44:00","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T14:44:00","slug":"the-pandemic-and-its-aftermath-in-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rri.ro\/en\/features-and-reports\/society-today\/the-pandemic-and-its-aftermath-in-romania-id144020.html","title":{"rendered":"The pandemic and its aftermath in Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n

2022 is, among
\nother things, the year of the housing census of the population in Romania. Initially,
\nthe housing census was scheduled for 2021, but it was postponed because of the
\npandemic. We are still waiting for the final data, to be compared with the data
\ncollected in the previous housing census carried in 2011. Meanwhile, we have
\nhad a look at the current statistics which sadly point to a worrying condition
\nof the country’s birth and mortality rates. <\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

According to statistics, the number
\nof the newly-born has stayed relatively constant during the pandemic. It was
\nsmall, anyway. However, the mortality rate has soared. In 2021, irrespective of
\nthe death cause, the total number of the deceased Romanians went over 334
\nthousand, that is 27% more than for the timeframe previous to the pandemic. All
\ntold, the mortality rate’s exceeding figure during the two years of the
\npandemic went over 100 thousand people. Concurrently, in Romania, in 2020, the reported
\nnumber of the newborn accounted for 40 thousand less infants than in 2019.<\/span><\/p>\n


\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Dr Vasile
\nGhetau is a sociologist and demography expert. He told us that in that period
\nof time the fewest children in the last hundred years were born. Which means
\nthat the natural growth rate, made of the difference between the number of the
\nnewborn and the number of the deceased, is still negative and only speeds up
\nthe natural decline.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Dr Vasile Ghetau<\/b>: The
\nnatural decline of the population before the pandemic, in 2019, accounted for
\n71 thousand inhabitants. In 2020, the natural decline went up to 120,000, while
\nthe data for the first 11 months of 2021 point to a significant increase in the
\nnumber of deaths, with the natural decline reaching almost 150,000 inhabitants.
\nIf we also take the month of December into account, last year we’re highly likely
\nto have witnessed an appalling natural decline, of 160-170 thousand people in
\none year alone. It is an appalling figure as compared to the country’s
\npopulation, accounting for 19 million people.<\/span><\/p>\n


\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Here
\nis Dr Vasile Ghetau once again, this time speaking about the causes of the high
\nmortality rate across the country. <\/p>\n


\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Dr Vasile Ghetau<\/b>: The increase in the number of deaths in 2020
\nand mostly in 2021 has the COVID-19 infection as its cause only in a moderate
\nproportion. The deaths have been on the rise, specifically, because of the circulatory
\nsystem conditions and of the respiratory system conditions other than COVID. This
\nincrease did have something to do with the pandemic, nonetheless. However,
\nresearch studies on that are still in progress. For instance, it has been
\nunanimously acknowledged that in the case of the circulatory system diseases, social
\nisolation under quarantine circumstances led up to a reported growing number of
\ndeaths among the elderly, against the backdrop of the pandemic. As for the
\nrespiratory system conditions other than COVID, if we examine some of the data,
\nwe can see the mortality rate has grown because of pneumonia. Perhaps the general
\ncontext of the pandemic has something to do with the characteristics of that
\nvirus, yet the final data, when they are provided, will offer a very accurate
\nimage of the mortality as a whole, in keeping with the specific causes of deaths.
\nThen we can accurately measure where the COVID-generated mortality stands,
\nagainst the backdrop of mortality as a whole. <\/p>\n


\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Until
\nthen,
\nwe can measure the immediate aftermath of mortality in recent years. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Dr Vasile
\nGhetau<\/b>: Mortality
\nrate in October and November was on the rise, and its outcome was a decline in the
\nlevel of life expectancy at birth, which was something predictable. So, for a
\nwhole year, life expectancy at birth for the entire population, male and
\nfemale, in Romania, stands at almost 76 years. Data for the first 11 months of
\nthe last year point to a life expectancy rate which is three years shorter, therefore
\nstanding at 73 years. And, if to all that we add the month of December, life expectancy
\nis highly likely to stand at 72 years. A four-year decline in life expectancy,
\nthat is whopping. Of course, other countries are also very likely to experience
\na rather high rate of pandemic-generated mortality that may lead to a setback
\nin life expectancy. Yet we’re speaking about much smaller values than those
\nreported for Romania in 2020 and those that have been quite clearly outlined
\nfor 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n


\n
\n
\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Here
\nis sociologist Dr Vasile Ghetau once again, this time proving that these
\nfigures only make an even clearer representation of a phenomenon that has
\nbeen ongoing for quite some time now: the new generations that have been born
\nin Romania no longer provide the replacement level for the population as a
\nwhole. <\/p>\n


\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Dr Vasile Ghetau<\/b>: In order for the population to grow or at least stay the same, for a simple
\nreplacement, one single woman will have to give birth to two children, in her
\nlife. It only takes two children for a primary population replacement process to occur.
\nIf, on average, more than two children are born, the population is likely to
\ngrow, so we’re going to have more than the numerical replacement level. However,
\nin Romania, the last generation to have provided for itself the genetic
\nreplacement is the one born in 1961. All the subsequent generations had a final
\ndescendance rate lower than two children for one single woman. The more such
\ngenerations are reported to occur, the more obvious is the fact that, in time, the
\npopulation will be on the wane because it is unable to provide its own
\nreplacement. <\/p>\n


\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Further data and, implicitly, a more detailed picture of the demographic
\nevolution and involution, we are going to have all that as soon as the housing census
\nis completed. The online self-census of individuals begins on March 14, 2022.
\nThe field housing census carried through a face-to-face interview kicks off on May 16,
\n2022. <\/p>\n

(EN)<\/p>\n


\n <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Birth and mortality rates at the time of the pandemic<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":136,"featured_media":143754,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42997],"tags":[43841,36126,31341,43879,35403],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-144020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-society-today","tag-birth","tag-census","tag-death","tag-generation","tag-rate"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThe pandemic and its aftermath in Romania - Radio Romania International<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rri.ro\/en\/features-and-reports\/society-today\/the-pandemic-and-its-aftermath-in-romania-id144020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The pandemic and its aftermath in Romania - 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