{"id":67215,"date":"2021-11-12T13:50:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-12T11:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/devrri.freshlemon.ro\/news-and-current-affairs\/newsflash\/economic-forecasts-for-romania-67215.html"},"modified":"2024-02-19T08:58:57","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T06:58:57","slug":"economic-forecasts-for-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rri.ro\/en\/news-and-current-affairs\/today-in-the-news\/economic-forecasts-for-romania-id67215.html","title":{"rendered":"Economic forecasts for Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p><span style=font-size: 1em;>The&#13;<br \/>\nEuropean Commission has slightly lowered its economic growth forecast for Romania.&#13;<br \/>\nTherefore, our country&#8217;s economic growth is expected to stand at 7%, compared&#13;<br \/>\nto the original estimate of 7.4% presented in July. The Commission expects&#13;<br \/>\nRomania&#8217;s GDP to exceed the level reported before the pandemic and to continue&#13;<br \/>\nto expand in the future to approximately 5%, fueled by domestic consumption and&#13;<br \/>\ninvestments under the Recovery and Resilience Plan. Economic growth is&#13;<br \/>\nendangered by the low rate of vaccination, travel restrictions that might&#13;<br \/>\naffect consumption and possible delays in implementing the National Recovery&#13;<br \/>\nand Resilience Plan. EU Economy Commissioner, Paolo Gentiloni, warned that&#13;<br \/>\ngrowth prospects at EU level are put at risk by the increasing number of&#13;<br \/>\ninfections in countries with low vaccination rates. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=font-size: 1em;><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=font-size: 1em;><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=font-size: 1em;>The EU official also&#13;<br \/>\nreferred to a growing pressure on production in Member States due to deadlocks&#13;<br \/>\nreported in global distribution chains. Romania fares slightly better compared&#13;<br \/>\nto other EU states in terms of economic growth. Conversely, its inflation rate&#13;<br \/>\nis above the EU average, whereas unemployment will go down less compared to&#13;<br \/>\nother states. The Central Bank recently announced the inflation rate last month&#13;<br \/>\nreached nearly 8%, the highest level reported in the last 13 years. The price&#13;<br \/>\nhikes for energy and fuel, by nearly 25% higher compared to October 2020, have&#13;<br \/>\nincreased prices across the board, and the trend will continue into the second&#13;<br \/>\nhalf of next year, the Central Bank and economic experts have warned. Next&#13;<br \/>\nmonth, the inflation rate is expected to stand at 7.5% and will reportedly go&#13;<br \/>\ndown to 5.9% at the end of next year. The Central Bank says these estimates exceed&#13;<br \/>\nthe forecast present in August due to the latest energy price hikes. Central&#13;<br \/>\nBank spokesman, Dan Suciu, referred to the future evolution of prices:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=font-size: 1em;><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=font-size: 1em;><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Price&#13;<br \/>\nhikes are largely behind us now. That doesn&#8217;t mean we will see prices going&#13;<br \/>\ndown soon. Where prices will go up, the increase will be marginal. The&#13;<br \/>\ninflation rate will continue to grow constantly until the end of 2021, and will&#13;<br \/>\nstart dropping slightly until April, due to compensations, energy subsidies expected&#13;<br \/>\nto take effect starting November 1, and whose effects will start to show in&#13;<br \/>\nApril. But again, the difference will be marginal.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Last&#13;<br \/>\nmonth, natural gas reported the highest increase compared to the previous month,&#13;<br \/>\nover 21%. The only category that reported a significant drop in prices was air&#13;<br \/>\ntravel, over 16%. (VP)<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Romania will continue to report a robust economic growth, the European Commission expects<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":81601,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37738],"tags":[30655,32599,29631,39118],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-67215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-today-in-the-news","tag-central-bank","tag-energy-prices","tag-inflation-rate","tag-price-hikes"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economic forecasts for Romania - Radio Romania International<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rri.ro\/en\/news-and-current-affairs\/today-in-the-news\/economic-forecasts-for-romania-id67215.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Economic forecasts for Romania - 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