{"id":84757,"date":"2020-02-21T13:50:00","date_gmt":"2020-02-21T11:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/devrri.freshlemon.ro\/news-and-current-affairs\/newsflash\/a-new-record-low-for-the-romanian-currency-the-leu-84757.html"},"modified":"2024-02-19T08:43:38","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T06:43:38","slug":"a-new-record-low-for-the-romanian-currency-the-leu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rri.ro\/en\/news-and-current-affairs\/today-in-the-news\/a-new-record-low-for-the-romanian-currency-the-leu-id84757.html","title":{"rendered":"A new record low for the Romanian currency, the Leu"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/p>\n<p>The European currency&#13;<br \/>\nhas yet again reached a record high against the Romanian currency. For the&#13;<br \/>\nRomanians, a depreciated Leu translates into higher prices, higher installments&#13;<br \/>\nand higher bills.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<\/p>\n<p>The CFA Romania Association as early as the&#13;<br \/>\nend of 2019 had forecast a depreciation of the Leu in the following 12 months&#13;<br \/>\nand an interest rate growth for the maturity date, <span style=font-size: 1em;>short-term as well as long-term. We recall&#13;<br \/>\nthe members of the CFA are holders of the most prestigious certifications in&#13;<br \/>\nthe field of investment and financial analysis, and the developments seem to&#13;<br \/>\nconfirm their estimates. In January this year, the exchange rate for the Leu&#13;<br \/>\nremained steady, given the apparent relief on the part of investors, who had&#13;<br \/>\nbeen concerned with the deterioration of the fiscal position. Consequently, a&#13;<br \/>\nbuoyant attitude prevailed on the international financial market. Notwithstanding,&#13;<br \/>\nthe Romanian currency has been depreciated as of late, against the main&#13;<br \/>\ncurrencies. According to economy pundits, the fall of the Leu had already been&#13;<br \/>\npredicted. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Adrian Codirlasu is the president of the&#13;<br \/>\nFinance and Banking Analysts Association.<\/p>\n<p>Adrian Codirlasu:<\/p>\n<p>The latest CFA survey,&#13;<br \/>\ncarried in December 2019, revealed an anticipatory exchange rate of 4.88 Lei&#13;<br \/>\nfor one Euro, for December 2020. The premise for such a forecast is the idea of the twin&#13;<br \/>\ndeficits. Romania has the highest current account deficit in the region,&#13;<br \/>\nstanding at around 5%, while this 5% is a warning level for a small and open&#13;<br \/>\ncountry. Also, it has one of the biggest budget deficits and will now enter the&#13;<br \/>\nexcessive deficit procedure. Such deficits require financing, that including&#13;<br \/>\nforeign financing. Moreover, what does the current account deficit mean? Foreign&#13;<br \/>\ncurrency getting out of the country, hence the exchange rate pressure. <\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<\/p>\n<p>Concurrently, the president of the Finance&#13;<br \/>\nand Banking Analysts Association believes that the depreciation of the national&#13;<br \/>\ncurrency is not going to stop. <\/p>\n<p>Business analyst Dragos Cabat thinks that the&#13;<br \/>\npoor exchange rate for the Leu is to a great extent caused by the country&#8217;s&#13;<br \/>\npolitical instability. <\/p>\n<p>According to Cabat, QUOTE, <span style=font-size: 1em;>at international level, what&#13;<br \/>\nwith China and the coronavirus, everybody is scared. Under such circumstances,&#13;<br \/>\nthe more vulnerable currencies of the countries where macroeconomics imbalances&#13;<br \/>\nclearly exist in the system, these currencies are under attack. International&#13;<br \/>\ninvestors are not that keen on the Leu, otherwise the attack on the Leu would&#13;<br \/>\nhave been even stronger, UNQUOTE. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>Dragos Cabat went on to say that in the&#13;<br \/>\nprevious month, had the Central Bank not intervened to reverse the Leu&#8217;s&#13;<br \/>\ndepreciation tendency, 4.8 to 4.85 lei would have bought One Euro. The slight&#13;<br \/>\ndepreciation of the Leu is correlated with the depreciations in the region,&#13;<br \/>\ngiven that the Zlot and the Forint have also depreciated as a result of&#13;<br \/>\ninternational financial flows, says the interim Finance Minister Florin Citu.&#13;<br \/>\nCitu also said interest rates would still be on the wane, while investors&#8217;&#13;<br \/>\nconfidence will be on the rise. Acting Prime Minister Ludovic Orban also said&#13;<br \/>\nthere was no reason for suspicion or panic. PM Orban also gave assurances the&#13;<br \/>\ncountry&#8217;s economic condition was a stable one. <\/p>\n<p>(Translation by Eugen Nasta)<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<br \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Business pundits on the depreciation of the leu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":108,"featured_media":84626,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37738],"tags":[39554,30514,34432],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-84757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-today-in-the-news","tag-depreciation","tag-exchange-rate","tag-leu"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A new record low for the Romanian currency, the Leu - Radio Romania International<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rri.ro\/en\/news-and-current-affairs\/today-in-the-news\/a-new-record-low-for-the-romanian-currency-the-leu-id84757.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A new record low for the Romanian currency, the Leu - 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