La BNR revient sur ses pr\u00e9visions <\/strong><\/h3>\n <\/p>\n
Lundi \u00e9galement, la Banque nationale de Roumanie a relev\u00e9 ses pr\u00e9visions d’inflation pour la fin de l’ann\u00e9e \u00e0 4,9 %, contre 4 % en ao\u00fbt, revenant \u00e9galement aux pr\u00e9visions du rapport trimestriel sur l’inflation publi\u00e9 en mai dernier. Le gouverneur de la BNR, Mugur Is\u0103rescu, a soulign\u00e9 que la banque centrale ne fondait ses pr\u00e9visions que sur des donn\u00e9es fiables et que la mani\u00e8re dont la correction fiscale-budg\u00e9taire sera effectu\u00e9e pour r\u00e9duire les d\u00e9ficits influencera \u00e9galement l’\u00e9volution r\u00e9elle de l’inflation. Il a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu’il s’attendait \u00e0 un programme de correction macro\u00e9conomique coh\u00e9rent b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiant d’un soutien politique fort. Ecoutons-le\u00a0:<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\u00ab C’est \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s ce que nous attendons. Un programme cr\u00e9dible de correction macro\u00e9conomique de la part du nouveau gouvernement, qui doit \u00eatre soutenu politiquement, accept\u00e9 socialement et avoir un effet macro\u00e9conomique, afin que nous puissions nous remettre sur les rails. Nous pouvons concevoir, et je me r\u00e9f\u00e8re \u00e0 nous les Roumains, un programme d’ajustement graduel, 0,7 par an, nettement inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la croissance \u00e9conomique, que nous envisageons \u00e0 2 % par an, qui peut \u00eatre combin\u00e9 avec l’\u00e9vitement d’une baisse du niveau de vie, mais pas avec des augmentations de 16 % des revenus bruts, nets ou r\u00e9els, ce n’est plus possible \u00bb <\/em>a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 Mugur Is\u0103rescu, gouverneur de la BNR.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Des facteurs internes et externes \u00e0 prendre en compte<\/strong><\/h3>\n <\/p>\n
La Banque nationale roumaine s’attend donc \u00e0 ne voir l\u2019inflation tomber en dessous de 3,5 % qu’en 2026. Mugur Is\u0103rescu a soulign\u00e9 que l’\u00e9volution des prix est marqu\u00e9e par un certain nombre de risques et d’incertitudes. Ceux-ci sont li\u00e9s \u00e0 la fois \u00e0 la politique fiscale et aux augmentations salariales, ainsi qu’\u00e0 des facteurs externes, tels que l’\u00e9volution des \u00e9conomies europ\u00e9ennes avec lesquelles la Roumanie entretient la plupart de ses relations commerciales, la dynamique des prix du p\u00e9trole dans le contexte de tensions g\u00e9opolitiques accrues, et la mani\u00e8re dont les conflits en Ukraine et au Moyen-Orient \u00e9volueront. Dans ses derni\u00e8res \u00ab Perspectives de l’\u00e9conomie mondiale \u00bb, publi\u00e9es r\u00e9cemment, le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international a revu \u00e0 la baisse ses pr\u00e9visions pour l’\u00e9conomie roumaine cette ann\u00e9e, \u00e0 1,9 %, contre 2,8 % en avril.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Selon les donn\u00e9es publi\u00e9es lundi par l’Institut national des statistiques, le d\u00e9ficit commercial enregistr\u00e9 par la Roumanie au cours des neuf premiers mois de cette ann\u00e9e a augment\u00e9 de 15 % par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode en 2023, totalisant environ 23,5 milliards d’euros. Les exportations ont d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les 69 milliards d’euros au cours des […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":783723,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[94412],"tags":[158180,90449,144283,89528,116084,88361,143875,85412],"coauthors":[115852],"class_list":["post-827657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-complement-dactu","tag-banque-nationale-roumanie","tag-deficit-commercial","tag-economie-fr","tag-exportations","tag-fmi-fr","tag-importations","tag-inflation-fr","tag-roumanie"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
Le d\u00e9ficit commercial de la Roumanie en hausse - Radio Roumanie Internationale<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rri.ro\/fr\/actualites\/complement-dactu\/le-deficit-commercial-de-la-roumanie-en-hausse-id827657.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le d\u00e9ficit commercial de la Roumanie en hausse - Radio Roumanie Internationale\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Selon les donn\u00e9es publi\u00e9es lundi par l’Institut national des statistiques, le d\u00e9ficit commercial enregistr\u00e9 par la Roumanie au cours des neuf premiers mois de cette ann\u00e9e a augment\u00e9 de 15 % par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode en 2023, totalisant environ 23,5 milliards d’euros. 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