Icunumia mondial\u00e2 va s-aib\u00e2, estan, un\u00e2 cri\u015fteari cama \u00f1ic\u00e2, di 2,5%, andicra di un\u00e2 cri\u0219teari di 2,6% minduit\u00e2 tu meslu yinar, di sibepea a polimlui dit Orientul di Mesi. Luyursearea iasi tu padi tu a\u021bel dit soni raportu ali Banc\u00e2 Mondial\u00e2. Uidisit cu spusa ali institu\u0163ie finan\u021biar\u00e2 interna\u0163ional\u00e2, ma s-fac\u00e2 dealihea, va s-hib\u00e2 cama sc\u00e2dzuta cri\u0219teari icunumic\u00e2 di anda ahurhi pandemia, tu bitisita a anlui 2019. Iara lucr\u00e2li pot s-aspun\u00e2 nica ma lai, fa\u021bi t\u00e2mbihi Banca Mondial\u00e2: a\u0219i, expansiunea poati s-ay\u00e2liseasc\u00e2 la ma\u0219i 1,3% maca f\u00e2\u021bearea a stogurlor cu energhie va s-hib\u00e2 cama \u00f1i\u021b \u0219i yin cu un stres multu mari pi p\u00e2z\u0103rli finan\u021biari.<\/p>\n
Tu \u021bi mutrea\u0219ti Rom\u00e2nia, Banca Mondial\u00e2 yini cu un\u00e2 luyurseari congruent\u00e2 i multu aproapea di luyurserli al\u00e2ntor institu\u0163ii di nuntru \u015fi interna\u0163ionali. Uidisit cu spusa ali Banc\u00e2 Mondil\u00e2, icunumia rom\u00e2neasc\u00e2 va s-aib\u00e2 estan, un\u00e2 cri\u015fteari zero, andicra di un\u00e2 cri\u0219teari di 1,3% luyursit\u00e2 tu meslu yinar. PIB-lu ali Rom\u00e2nie va s-creasc\u00e2 cu 1,7% anlu \u021bi yini, a c\u0103 tu meslu yinaru Banca Mondial\u00e2 prognoza un\u00e2 ci\u0219teari di 1,9%. Tu 2028, icunumia rom\u00e2neasc\u00e2 va s-creasc\u00e2 cu 2%. Dit meslu yinar, cama laili luyurseri fur\u00e2 ti Rom\u00e2nie, Turchie, Republica Moldova \u015fi Ucraina, prota-chi-prota di itia a \u015foclui a p\u00e2hadzlor la materiili primi, pi ninga evolu\u0163iili spe\u021bifi\u021bi ti cathi v\u00e2silie, aspuni raportul ali Banc\u00e2 Mondial\u00e2.<\/p>\n
Tu chirolu 2026-2028, politica fiscal\u00e2 easti a\u015ftiptat\u00e2 s-andrupasc\u00e2 tu un\u00e2 mari misur\u00e2 cri\u015ftearea tu cama multili icunumii. Exichili fiscali va s-arm\u00e2n\u00e2 m\u0103ri, di cara s-fac dipriun\u00e2 presiuni pi p\u00e2hadz, ba\u0219 pi a\u021beali dit dumenea ali ap\u00e2rari. Spa\u0163iul fiscal \u00f1ic, maxus tu Muntenegru, Rom\u00e2nia \u015fi Ucraina, va s-\u00e2ng\u00e2rdeasc\u00e2, vahi, capa\u021bitatea autorit\u0103\u0163lor ta s-absoarb\u00e2 aestu \u015foc, fa\u021bi t\u00e2mbihi Banca Mondial\u00e2. Di p\u021b\u00e2n chiro, Comisia Na\u0163ional\u00e2 di Strateghii \u015fi Prognoz\u00e2 luyursi ti anlu 2026 un\u00e2 cri\u015fteari icunumic\u00e2 di ma\u0219i 0,1%, al\u00e2xindalui pi sc\u00e2deari, cu 0,9 puncti pro\u021bentuali, luyursearea fapt\u00e2 ma ninti.<\/p>\n
Luyurserli ti un chiro di mesi s-fea\u021bir\u00e2 tu un\u00e2 catastisi gheopolitic\u00e2 cu zori, iu \u021biva nu s\u00e2 \u0219tie salami, \u0219-aest\u00e2 catastisi easti ma greau\u00e2 di cara ceamauna dit Orientul di Mesi s-adr\u0103 ma lai \u0219-aestu lucru dusi la un \u015foc energhetic mari pi p\u00e2zarea global\u00e2. Efectul infla\u0163ionistu dat di cri\u0219tearea a p\u00e2hadzlor la combustibili vini pisti gaire\u021bli interni di andridzeari a zig\u00e2llei macroicunumic\u00e2 prit du\u021bearea ma largu a b\u00e2garillei tu practico a misurilor di anv\u00e2rtu\u0219ari bugetar\u00e2, a\u021bea \u021bi dusi la asp\u00e2rdzearea a luyurserilor ti estan, minduea\u0219ti CNSP. Ti un chiro di mesi, aesta nu al\u00e2xea\u0219ti luyurserli ti cri\u015ftearea icunumic\u00e2, ti chirolu 2027-2029, ritmolu di mesi ti cathi an ti Produslu Internu Brut hiindalui di 2,2%, \u021bi easti \u021b\u00e2nut, ma multu, di cri\u0219tearea ma largu a pro\u021beslui investi\u0163ional. Dup\u00e2 sc\u00e2dearea dit 2026, consumlu privat va s-creasc\u00e2 cu un ritmo di mesi ti cathi an \u021bi va s-hib\u00e2 pisti a\u021bel a PIB-lui, di cara va s\u00e2 scad\u00e2 pri-ayalea efectili a \u00e2nv\u00e2rtu\u0219arillei bugetar\u00e2.<\/p>\n
Autor: \u0218tefan Stoica
\nApridu\u021bearea: Mirela Biolan<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Icunumia mondial\u00e2 va s-aib\u00e2, estan, un\u00e2 cri\u015fteari cama \u00f1ic\u00e2, di 2,5%, andicra di un\u00e2 cri\u0219teari di 2,6% minduit\u00e2 tu meslu yinar, di sibepea a polimlui dit Orientul di Mesi. Luyursearea iasi tu padi tu a\u021bel dit soni raportu ali Banc\u00e2 Mondial\u00e2. Uidisit cu spusa ali institu\u0163ie finan\u021biar\u00e2 interna\u0163ional\u00e2, ma s-fac\u00e2 dealihea, va s-hib\u00e2 cama sc\u00e2dzuta […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":187,"featured_media":844504,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[46539,149433,47440],"coauthors":[116465],"class_list":["post-1036400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualitati","tag-banca-mondiala","tag-buget-ro_ar","tag-icunumie"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n