Rata anual\u0103 a infla\u0163iei ma largu va si scad\u0103 tru Romania tru un ritmu sus\u0163\u0103nut tru yinitorlli me\u015fi, estimeaz\u0103 Banca Na\u0163ional\u0103. Institu\u0163ia apreciaz\u0103, ama, c\u0103 ari incertituditui \u015fi riscuri tru contextul a polimlui ditu Ucraina, ama \u015fi a politic\u0103lli fiscale ditu Rom\u00e2nia, cari lipsea\u015fti s\u2019ampac\u0103 ananghea di \u00f1\u00eecurari a deficitlui bugetar cu meatrili di agiutoru tr\u0103 popula\u0163ie \u015fi economie. Banca Central\u0103 apufusi s-u \u0163\u0103n\u0103 tu idyea scar\u0103a rata a toclui di politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 la nivelul di 7% pi an, a\u0163ea turlie c\u0103, tru yinmitorlli me\u015fi, ratele di credite s\u2019nu creasc\u0103. Di aestu indicator \u0163\u0103nu cantitatea di moned\u0103 aflat\u0103 tru circula\u0163ie, cursul di al\u0103xeari valutar\u0103, tocurli ditu pia\u0163\u0103, ama \u015fi alte p\u00e2rghii filisiti tr\u0103 agiundzeari obiectivili di politic\u0103 economic\u0103. Easti prima andamasi a cum\u0103ndusearillei BNR cari \u0103lu \u0163\u0103ni nial\u0103xitu rata a toclui di politic\u0103 monetar\u0103, tru condi\u0163iile tru cari aesta criscu niacumtinatu ditu brumaru 2021. <\/p>\n
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Analistul financiar Adrian Coderla\u015fu spune c\u0103 apofasea eara anticipat\u0103 \u015fi c\u0103 nu va s\u2019aib\u0103 un impact semnificativ ti tocurli practicate di c\u0103tre b\u0103n\u0163\u0103: “Nu s\u2019;lo neise un\u0103 pofasi di politic\u0103 monetar\u0103, lucru cari \u015fi di c\u0103tr\u0103 p\u0103z\u0103ri eara larg a\u015ftiptat\u0103. Neise, impactul ti evolu\u0163ia ratelor di dob\u00e2nd\u0103 di pi pia\u0163a monetar\u0103 easti cabaia \u00f1icuratu. Rata di dob\u00e2nd\u0103 di pia\u0163\u0103 monetar\u0103 videm c\u0103 easti pi un trend di sc\u0103deari, ama ROBOR-ul nu va s\u2019dipun\u0103 sumu 6. Neise scaden\u0163ili lundz\u0103ima largu pot si scad\u0103 un\u0103oar\u0103 \u0163i s\u2019confirm\u0103 pro\u0163eslu dezinfla\u0163ionist. IRCC-ul tru aestu trimestru easti la valoarea maxim\u0103. Ditu trimestru yinitoru, va s\u2019agiung\u0103 la un\u0103 li\u015foar\u0103 sc\u0103deari, di la 5.98, poati la un 5.93-5.94. Nu va s\u2019hib\u0103 anul aestu semnificativ sum 6. Vai ma v\u0103rtosu vas \u0103 scad\u0103 anul yinitoru, c\u00e2ndu \u015fi Banca Central\u0103 vai va opereadz\u0103 prima sc\u0103deari di rat\u0103 di dob\u00e2nd\u0103..” <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n
Uidisitu cu is\u0103kili di tora, rata anual\u0103 a infla\u0163iei va \u015f\u2019accelereadz\u0103 vahi discristearea tru yinitorlli me\u015fi, ama persist\u0103 un \u015fingiru di incertituditui \u015fi riscuri. Adrian Coderla\u015fu li spusi prin\u0163ipalele dau\u0103: “Arm\u0103ni polimlu, principalu risc, cari poati s\u2019aduc\u0103 nic\u0103 surprize negative tru regiunea aesta ic\u0103 tru tuat\u0103 UE. OPEC Plus, dimi OPEC plus Rusia dimandar\u0103 c\u0103 \u00f1\u00eecureadz\u0103 cantitatea di petrol, scupolu hiinda ta s\u2019creasc\u0103 p\u0103h\u0103lu pi pia\u0163a interna\u0163ional\u0103. Aesta va s\u2019duc\u0103 tru infla\u0163ie tru caz c\u0103 p\u0103h\u0103lu arm\u00e2ne analtu ic\u0103 tru caz c\u0103 l\u0103 iase aest\u0103 opera\u0163iune \u015fi nica va s\u2019creasc\u0103 p\u0103h\u0103lu a naft\u0103llei. Dimi, ar\u0103m\u00e2n nic\u0103 energia ca un factor di vulnearabilitate, ama \u015fi incertitudi\u00f1ili ligate di polimu.”<\/em><\/strong> <\/p>\n
Incertituditui \u015fi riscuri aduc \u015fi turbulen\u0163ele ditu sistemili bancari ditu Statele Unite \u015fi Elve\u0163ia, cari pot s\u2019exercita efecte adverse pritu z\u00f1iipsearea a economiilor statilor dizvoltate \u015fi a percep\u0163illei di risc ti Europa Central\u0103 \u015fi di Est, cu impact ti custuserli di finan\u0163are.<\/p>\n
Autoru: Mihai Pelin<\/p>\n
Arm\u00e2nipsearea: Ta\u015fcu Lala<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Consiliul di Administra\u0163ie a B\u0103nc\u0103llei Na\u0163ionale a Rom\u00e2niei apufusi ta st\u0103n\u0103 rata a toclui di politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 la nivelul di 7% pi an.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":106,"featured_media":93113,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[47342,47274,46577,47533,47532],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-184905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualitati","tag-energie","tag-inflatie","tag-pahadz","tag-rate-dobanda","tag-sisteme-bancari"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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